CasperGriswoldBacon wrote:I think more and more obscure loco's will appear over time with the emphasis on distinctive designs that made it into BR times, and that is definitely the way they're going judging from things like the W1...
Two in that group with no announcements to date that somewhat surprise me, the Lickey banker and WD 2-10-0. Judging by sales of Evening star and 9F's in general, lots of little wheels hold great appeal. And since Hornby have the most of it to hand in their Princess, I'd also think the Turbomotive must be a natural follow on once the standard Princess sales drop off, much as they used their Brit as the basis for the Clan.
Absolutely loads of eye-catching classes with sales potential, but I can't see them bothering going through every bog standard large shunter and freight engine class unless they plan to stop charging silly money for them...
Without a doubt, there will be a lot of focus on the prettier specimens! But there are still some surprising gaps amongst the more ordinary subjects. Nothing, quite literally, from any of the absorbed lines within the GWR, like the MSWJ 2-4-0 you mention. A massive hole in representation of CR, LNWR, L&Y, NBR, and NER subjects, all of them sizeable enterprises that were integral to large areas of the Big Two and BR systems; and with plentiful 'pretty specimens' potential too. The price, well we might see the RTR industry relocate to the next developing economy opportunity, Vietnam looks a hot favourite.
... Obviously if you're someone who's modelling the York to Beverly line 1958-61 (sundays only) then you're going to be of limited long term value to the manufacturers as once you've got the classes you need, then you're only going to be buying replacements when they self-destruct...
Then again, there is the fidget tendency, which I feel is not only a better bet but pretty common among railway modellers. "I got fed up with the way my OO 14xx didn't work on my Ashbustleigh BLT. So I went O gauge but that was equally a problem, because with two autotrailers for the summer traffic I only had 3 foot of running line left unoccupied and the train never completely got off the platform. Then I tried a fictitious GWR narrow gauge layout including some rack railway sections serving Selworthy, Porlock, Exford and Wooten, with its standard gauge connection at Minehead, in the end that had to go because people kept telling me that even Brunel wouldn't have tried that. Then we moved house and I had rather more space, so I went back to OO and am now building a model of Southall ... Etc..'"
More chance of sales that way I feel, than relying on owners buying replacements. (There's real resistance there! Lost count of how many posts I have seen over the years asking for help repairing thirty, forty, fifty, sixty, year old worn out or broken mechanism designs for which there are no new manufacturer spares, because they have all been long made obsolete by superior designs.)
And we haven't yet read of someone collapsing his house under the weight of a model railway collection, time yet for that to happen I suppose. Some dealers are a little nervous about what happens when the flood of the last 20 years sales begins to emerge on the s/h market. Will impatient families send most of it to landfill/recycling, or will there be mountains of it on line, on exhibtion trade stalls and retailer's s/h cabinets?